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CFTC Uses Microsoft AI Tools to Surveil Crypto and Prediction Markets, Chairman Tells Congress

17/04/2026
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CFTC Uses Microsoft AI Tools to Surveil Crypto and Prediction Markets, Chairman Tells Congress


Key Takeaways:

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig confirmed the company is deploying AI and automation instruments to surveil markets with a 20%-reduced workers since FY2024. Six Polymarket accounts reportedly earned $1.2 million betting on U.S. Iran strikes hours earlier than the February twenty eighth motion, elevating insider buying and selling alarms. Selig referred to as bipartisan crypto market construction laws beneath the Readability Act important, urging Congress to ship the invoice to the president’s desk in 2025.

Selig Calls Readability Act Important as CFTC Faces Congressional Warmth Over Polymarket Insider Buying and selling Fears

Chairman Michael Selig, sworn in roughly 100 days earlier than the listening to, testified that the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee (CFTC) has approved using Microsoft 365 Copilot throughout its workforce and is constructing new AI-driven surveillance methods to flag fraud, market manipulation, and insider buying and selling. The company’s headcount has dropped from 708 full-time workers on the finish of fiscal yr 2024 to roughly 543, a discount of greater than 20%. Selig defended the cuts, telling the panel the company is operating extra effectively than ever.

Rating Member Angie Craig of Minnesota pushed again straight. Craig argued the CFTC can’t adequately oversee digital commodity buying and selling and prediction markets with staffing ranges under what the primary Trump administration had itself requested. She referred to as for the company to be absolutely funded and mentioned Congress by no means meant for a single commissioner to run the CFTC alone. Selig is at the moment the one sitting commissioner, with 4 seats vacant.

A number of members questioned Selig a couple of sample of well-timed trades on Polymarket, Kalshi, and different platforms tied to delicate authorities actions. Rep. Jim McGovern of Massachusetts cited roughly $500 million in oil and equities futures positioned simply earlier than President Trump posted on Fact Social at 7:04 a.m. on March twenty third that the U.S. had begun ceasefire talks with Iran. Rep. April McClain Delaney and others referenced a Reuters report that six newly created Polymarket accounts earned roughly $1.2 million betting that U.S. airstrikes on Iran would happen, with these accounts funded inside 24 hours of the strikes.

Selig repeated a zero tolerance coverage on insider buying and selling all through the listening to however declined to verify or deny whether or not the CFTC is investigating any particular trades, saying doing so may compromise energetic investigations. He mentioned the company’s enforcement division, led by David Miller, a former CIA officer and Southern District of New York prosecutor, is actively staffing up.

On digital property, Selig expressed sturdy help for the CLARITY Act, bipartisan crypto market construction laws this committee has superior. He informed members the invoice is crucial to finish years of regulatory ambiguity that has pushed builders and innovators offshore. He mentioned the CFTC and U.S. Securities and Alternate Fee (SEC) have already signed a joint interpretation clarifying which crypto property qualify as securities and which as commodities. The businesses additionally entered a memorandum of understanding to coordinate surveillance, data sharing, and rulemaking.

Selig addressed prediction markets at size. The company issued an advance discover of proposed rulemaking in March 2025 soliciting public touch upon the best way to regulate occasion contracts, that are derivatives traded on registered exchanges. He informed the committee the CFTC has not allowed contracts tied to struggle, terrorism, or assassination on its regulated platforms, however declined to prejudge the result of the rulemaking course of. A number of Democrats, together with Rep. Jim Costa of California and Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez of New Mexico, argued that prediction market sports activities contracts straight undermine tribal gaming compacts and state sovereignty.

Rep. Austin Scott of Georgia raised considerations about decentralized change ( DEX) platforms similar to Hyperliquid, which lists perpetual contracts on crude oil with out segregated funds, market surveillance, or U.S. oversight. Scott mentioned volumes on these platforms might attain 200,000 orders per second and might be affecting home gasoline costs. Selig mentioned the CFTC is monitoring these offshore markets and needs to carry that exercise again beneath home regulation.

Selig informed the committee the company has additionally taken steps to make clear the capital therapy of fee stablecoins, issued steering on tokenized collateral, and outlined obligations for U.S.-based software program builders constructing on blockchain infrastructure. He referred to as laws the one approach to lock in these protections long-term in opposition to future administrative reversals.

The listening to additionally coated rising fertilizer costs, considerations about 24-hour buying and selling fashions for agricultural commodity contracts, the CFTC whistleblower fund’s funding stability, and a push by a number of members to codify current no-action letters that defend church pension plans and college endowments from commodity pool operator registration necessities.

Committee Chairman GT Thompson of Pennsylvania closed by saying he and Craig will ship a letter to the White Home urging the immediate nomination of certified people to fill all 4 vacant commissioner seats on a bipartisan foundation. The listening to file will stay open for 10 days.



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